Why I'm not taking the Covid vaccine

By Amanda Vickers

March 2021

A friend said “It appears to me that the risks to individuals including myself being vaccinated for COVID-19 are significantly less than not being vaccinated - with our borders being increasingly opened up to people from overseas with many variations of the virus now about.” Here is my response:


Please be very careful when making the decision to consent to the Comirnaty vaccination. You cannot un-vaccinate yourself. You have one chance to make a properly informed choice. Please be aware of the following points before you do:


1. The risk of death from Covid in NZ is small


The risk of contracting and dying from Covid in NZ is very low on account of the fact that New Zealand has no active cases in the community, has a strict border security system and shuts down entire cities where a breach occurs. However, in the unlikely event that Covid both slips through the NZ border and manages to find its way to infect you, the median chance of your death is 0.15%. That is 0.15 people out of every 100. It is 0.05% in those under 70 years.The Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) is different from the case fatality rate often reported in the media and takes into account the vast amount of infections that are asymptomatic because many people are able to fend off Covid without symptoms.


2. Gross death numbers are not a reliable figure - we must use overall mortality figures.















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With respect to Covid death numbers, you will have heard many arguments bandied about about the actual number of people dying “with” Covid compared to dying “of” Covid. This is because (overseas) any death from any cause after a Covid positive test is deemed to be a death from Covid. There has been a lot of controversy around these figures but what we can be sure of is overall population mortality figures. These vary between countries but in the UK we see a 13.8% increased death rate (that is, not 13.8 % of the population, but 13.8 % increase in deaths compared with the previous year's deaths).

3. The risks of an adverse event from being vaccinated


The government advertising campaign has had a legal challenge to the High Court about their statements being misleading, especially their "safe and effective" claim. The case against the crown is sobering reading as does some other government information and documents not discussed in the media. The outcome was that the Crown ultra vires the legislation but rather than consider that they had not followed due process and remedied their actions, they instead put through emergency legislation the following day to allow them to continue in the manner that they are.


The Adverse Event Reporting systems of various countries may be an indication of widespread vaccine damage. While these reports do not prove causation, they also do not rule it out. There have been multiple thousands of deaths and other serious reactions reported. Additionally, there are many thousands of personal testimonies of vaccine injury.


The vaccine type is novel. Never before has an mRNA vaccine been used in humans. The trials of this vaccine are ongoing and are due to be completed in 2023. There is no formal long-term safety data. The vaccine does not have “approval” in NZ but only has “provisional approval” pending 58 conditions from Medsafe because of their concerns.


4. Pfizer’s history is not unchequered


5. The benefits of being vaccinated


The advertised effectiveness of the Pfizer vaccine is 95% which is the Relative Risk Reduction (RRR). That is the chance you have of being protected should you come in contact with the virus. However, the FDA states that the Absolute Risk Reduction (ARR) is a far more appropriate figure to be advertising to the public. This takes into account your actual reduced likelihood of contracting Covid if you take the vaccine based on population statistics. For the Pfizer vaccine, the figure was calculated as 0.7%. So, if you take the vaccine you would be 0.7% less likely to contract Covid - in America - at the time that assessment was conducted. NZ this would be significantly lower again given we have no community transmission at present.

6. Risk of death from Covid may be reduced by 75%

Some doctors claim you can reduce the risk of death by 75% (multiply risk by 0.25) if you use Ivermectin as a treatment once symptoms occur. 


7. Risk calculations

The determination of whether vaccine risks outweigh benefits is currently being made on our behalf by the NZ government.



Risk: Covid death without vacct’n = Risk of Covid into NZ and you catching it x 0.005 (IFR)

Risk: Covid death without vacct’n/+Ivermectin = Risk of Covid into NZ and you catching it x 0.005 (IFR) x (1-0.75)
= Infinitesimal


Risk: Covid death (NZ) with vacct’n = Risk of Covid into NZ x 0.93 (ARR) x 0.005 (IFR) 

Risk: Covid death (NZ) with vacct’n/+Ivermectin = Risk of Covid into NZ x 0.93 (ARR) x 0.005 (IFR) x (1-.75)

= ever so infinitesimally more infinitesimal


In summary, please, do not faithfully assume the “safe and effective” advertising slogan means that there is no risk from the vaccine. Weigh up the actual risk of Covid against potential vaccine injury or death and exercise  informed consent if you wish to go ahead.